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Yesterday’s crash in Ethereum was brutal, but it’s playing out exactly within the time cycles we’ve been tracking.
In our annual outlook on Bitcoin, we called for a mid-January high and a sharp early February correction—right on cue. While Bitcoin led the move, Ethereum is sitting at a major inflection point, and the data is pointing toward this being a significant low.
ETH has been trading in defined 69-week cycles, and this latest drop aligns perfectly with past panic events that marked major reversals. The 90-day, 180-degree, and 330-degree time factors are all lining up, signaling that this could be the low of the year. Historically, when these time windows converge, they’ve preceded explosive upside moves.
Sentiment is at rock bottom, but structurally, nothing is broken. ETH’s long-term trend remains intact, and this type of shakeout is what sets the stage for the next leg up. If history repeats, a measured move from this low still projects ETH reaching close to $8,000 by July. It’s a textbook case of why time is the most powerful factor in markets—panic moments like these are when major opportunities emerge.